Tennis · M15 Tsaghkadzor · 16/09, 08:30
Prediction: Roman Kharlamov vs Niklas Guttau
Team pages: Roman Kharlamov · Niklas Guttau
Prediction summary
Winner
Roman Kharlamov
Niklas Guttau
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Roman Kharlamov
5-5 (W-L)
Niklas Guttau
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Roman Kharlamov 1496 · Niklas Guttau 1573
| Roman Kharlamov | Niklas Guttau | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Niklas Guttau (rating 1496 vs 1573).
- Niklas Guttau is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Niklas Guttau makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Roman Kharlamov | Niklas Guttau | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.7-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-10.7 | 13.8-9.2 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 1 |
| Double faults | 3 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 66.7% | 69.6% |
| Break % | 41.5% | 57.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Roman Kharlamov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Martin Van Der Meerschen M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/09 | Egor Shcherbakov M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 18/08 | Drazen Petrovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 06/05 | Andrea Fiorentini M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 30/04 | Leonardo Rossi M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Arjun Rathi M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/04 | Melih Anavatan M15 Pretoria · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/04 | Darrshan Suresh M15 Pretoria · ~Hard |
1-0 | 10-8 | W |
| 18/03 | Daniil Sarksian M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 10/03 | Linang Xiao M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Niklas Guttau
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Corentin Denolly M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 10/09 | Matteo Vavassori M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Mikayel Avanesyan M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/08 | Michael Savano M25 Poznan |
0-2 | 7-9 | L |
| 27/08 | Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Kacper Knitter M25 Poznan |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 23/08 | Leo Borg M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 22/08 | Jan Simonsson M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 21/08 | Kevin Edengren M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 20/08 | Alessandro Battiston M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Roman Kharlamov vs Niklas Guttau?
Our model gives 74% to Niklas Guttau, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.