Tennis · Challenger Biella · 15/09, 11:30
Prediction: Pierluigi Basile vs Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
Team pages: Pierluigi Basile · Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
Prediction summary
Winner
Pierluigi Basile
Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Pierluigi Basile
9-1 (W-L)
Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pierluigi Basile 1603 · Joao Lucas Reis da Silva 1507
| Pierluigi Basile | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pierluigi Basile (rating 1603 vs 1507).
- Pierluigi Basile is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Pierluigi Basile | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (2) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.5 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-8.6 | 9.7-11.2 |
| Aces | 3 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 76.3% | 66.7% |
| Break % | 50.3% | 46.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pierluigi Basile
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Giovanni Oradini Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/09 | Adrian Oetzbach Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/09 | Roberto Perez Socas M25 Gijon |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 08/09 | David Aguiar Johansson M25 Gijon |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | Filippo Valdetara M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/08 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Lesa |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 23/08 | Alexander Weis M25 Lesa |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 22/08 | Nico Hipfl M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/08 | Lorenzo Comino M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/08 | Lorenzo Beraldo M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Mika Brunold Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Alex Barrena Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/09 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/09 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Alex Molcan Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/08 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Hynek Barton Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 22/06 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pierluigi Basile vs Joao Lucas Reis da Silva?
Our model gives 51% to Joao Lucas Reis da Silva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.