Tennis · M15 Tsaghkadzor · 16/09, 10:00
Prediction: Daniil Sarksian vs Noel Larwig
Team pages: Daniil Sarksian · Noel Larwig
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniil Sarksian
Noel Larwig
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Daniil Sarksian
3-7 (W-L)
Noel Larwig
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniil Sarksian 1465 · Noel Larwig 1453
| Daniil Sarksian | Noel Larwig | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Noel Larwig makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Daniil Sarksian | Noel Larwig | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (1) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.3 | 0.7-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-10.7 | 9.7-12.9 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 66.2% | 60.4% |
| Break % | 50% | 34.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniil Sarksian
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Karol Malirz M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/08 | Rigele Te M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Mikalai Haliak M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 8-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Noritaka Koizumi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Martin Borisiouk M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Xing Dao Chen M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Ye Cong Mo M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-1 | 7-11 | L |
| 16/06 | Viktor Frydrych M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 10/06 | Ryuki Matsuda M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Noel Larwig
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Matthias Ujvary M15 Vienna |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/08 | John Hallquist Lithen M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Oscar Moraing M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 09/08 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 06/08 | Alec Beckley M15 Bielsko Biala |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Kacper Knitter M15 Bielsko Biala |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 30/07 | Alan Wazny M25 Koszalin |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Bruno Kokot M25 Koszalin |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 15/07 | Noah Schlagenhauf M15 Uslar |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniil Sarksian vs Noel Larwig?
Our model gives 58% to Daniil Sarksian, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.