Tennis · W35 Shenyang · 15/09, 04:00
Prediction: Ruien Zhang vs Rina Saigo
Team pages: Ruien Zhang · Rina Saigo
Prediction summary
Winner
Ruien Zhang
Rina Saigo
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Ruien Zhang
5-5 (W-L)
Rina Saigo
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ruien Zhang 1491 · Rina Saigo 1533
| Ruien Zhang | Rina Saigo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rina Saigo (rating 1491 vs 1533).
- Note: Ruien Zhang makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Ruien Zhang | Rina Saigo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-10.2 | 11.8-10.9 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 62.2% | 58.6% |
| Break % | 53.4% | 50% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ruien Zhang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Yujin Kim W15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 13/08 | Thasaporn Naklo W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Chenting Zhu W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/08 | Yuhan Wang W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Thasaporn Naklo W15 Tianjin |
1-1 | 8-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Han Shi W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 15/07 | Tiphanie Lemaitre W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 13/07 | Alba Maria Coromina Boluda W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/07 | Jordina Font W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Nadia Podoroska W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Rina Saigo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Yuhan Wang W50 Guiyang |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Han Shi W75 Tianjin |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Sonja Zhiyenbayeva W75 Ourense |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Daria Khomutsianskaya W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Celia Cervino Ruiz W75 Ourense |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 05/08 | Viktoria Morvayova W75 Ourense |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 02/08 | Adithya Karunaratne W35 Aldershot |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 01/08 | Linda Klimovicova W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/07 | Sayaka Ishii W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/07 | Angella Okutoyi W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ruien Zhang vs Rina Saigo?
Our model gives 65% to Rina Saigo, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.