Tennis · W35 Shenyang · 15/09, 04:00
Prediction: Aruzhan Sagandikova vs Asylzhan Arystanbekova
Team pages: Aruzhan Sagandikova · Asylzhan Arystanbekova
Prediction summary
Winner
Aruzhan Sagandikova
Asylzhan Arystanbekova
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Aruzhan Sagandikova
6-4 (W-L)
Asylzhan Arystanbekova
9-1 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Aruzhan Sagandikova
1–0
Asylzhan Arystanbekova
(1 last)
- 31 Jul2-0 12-1W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aruzhan Sagandikova 1528 · Asylzhan Arystanbekova 1609
| Aruzhan Sagandikova | Asylzhan Arystanbekova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Asylzhan Arystanbekova (rating 1528 vs 1609).
- Asylzhan Arystanbekova is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Aruzhan Sagandikova 1–0 Asylzhan Arystanbekova (1).
Statistics
| Aruzhan Sagandikova | Asylzhan Arystanbekova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.8-0.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-10.4 | 11-5.3 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 58.8% | 63.2% |
| Break % | 42.1% | 57.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
H2H · Aruzhan Sagandikova 1 – 0 Asylzhan Arystanbekova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aruzhan Sagandikova 1–0 Asylzhan Arystanbekova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07/24 ITF W15 Ust-Kamenogorsk | 2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aruzhan Sagandikova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Jing-Jing Lu W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/09 | Chengwei Han W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Ha Eum Lee W15 Astana |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Gaeul Jang W15 Astana |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Ekaterina Maklakova W15 Astana |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Kamonwan Yodpetch W15 Astana |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 10/07 | Ingkar Dyussebay W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Eva Korysheva W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/07 | Valeriia Iushchenko W15 Astana |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 18/06 | Ana Giraldi Requena W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Asylzhan Arystanbekova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Shiyu Ye W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 13/09 | Ke Ren W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/08 | Miho Kuramochi W75 Tianjin |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Haruna Arakawa W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/08 | Irem Kurt W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/08 | Anna Pushkareva W15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/08 | Yuka Hosoki W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/08 | Su Jeong Jang W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/08 | Edda Mamedova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 8-1 | W |
| 08/08 | Anna Pushkareva W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aruzhan Sagandikova vs Asylzhan Arystanbekova?
Our model gives 71% to Asylzhan Arystanbekova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.