Tennis · W75 Le Neubourg · 14/09, 13:00

Prediction: Demi Tran vs Kim Chiarello

Team pages: Demi Tran · Kim Chiarello

Prediction summary
Winner
45% 55%
Demi Tran Kim Chiarello
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Demi Tran 3-7 (W-L)
LLWLLLLWLW
Kim Chiarello 4-6 (W-L)
LWWLWLLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Demi Tran 1453 · Kim Chiarello 1475
Demi TranKim Chiarello
Our model47%53%
Market44%56%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Kim Chiarello makes many double faults (6.4/match).

Statistics

Demi TranKim Chiarello
Win %30%40%
Win % · Clay 25% (4)
Sets (G-P)0.7-1.41.1-1.3
Games (G-P)8.6-10.810.1-10.7
Aces0.31.3
Double faults3.26.4
1st serve %53.5%61.2%
Break %45.1%43.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Demi Tran

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/09 Ashmitha Easwaramurthi
W75 Le Neubourg
2-0 12-4 W
09/09 Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard
W15 Dijon
0-2 3-12 L
08/09 Charlotte Cora Bruneton
W15 Dijon
2-0 13-7 W
31/08 Loes Ebeling Koning
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer
0-2 9-13 L
24/08 Sina Herrmann
W50 Oldenzaal
0-2 9-13 L
19/08 Lisa Claeys
W15 Wanfercee-Baulet
0-2 8-13 L
10/08 Marie Vogt
W50 Hamburg
0-2 3-12 L
09/08 Georgina Groth
W50 Hamburg
2-0 13-7 W
02/08 Valentina Ivanov
W75 Koksijde
0-2 3-12 L
29/07 Laura Hietaranta
W100 Gran Canaria
1-2 13-15 L

Kim Chiarello

LLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/09 Naoko Eto
W75 Le Neubourg
2-0 12-4 W
21/07 Lisa Claeys
W15 Nogent-sur-Marne
2-1 17-14 W
16/06 Diana Martynov
W75 Blois · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
15/06 Sara Cakarevic
W75 Blois · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
10/03 Maria Garcia Cid
W15 Gonesse · ~Clay
0-2 2-11 L
09/03 Charlotte Cora Bruneton
W15 Gonesse · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
02/03 Jahnie Van Zyl
W15 Hagetmau · ~Hard
1-2 9-11 L
01/03 Lena Thomas Iglesias
W15 Hagetmau · ~Hard
2-0 13-6 W
15/02 Massiva Boukirat
W50 Macon · ~Hard
1-2 12-15 L
08/02 Weronika Ewald
W50 Grenoble · ~Hard
1-2 9-18 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Demi Tran vs Kim Chiarello?

Our model gives 55% to Kim Chiarello, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.