Tennis · W75 Le Neubourg · 14/09, 10:00
Prediction: Seda Baslilar vs Paula Cembranos
Team pages: Seda Baslilar · Paula Cembranos
Prediction summary
Winner
Seda Baslilar
Paula Cembranos
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Seda Baslilar
4-6 (W-L)
Paula Cembranos
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Seda Baslilar
0–1
Paula Cembranos
(1 last)
- 10 Sept0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Seda Baslilar 1476 · Paula Cembranos 1555
| Seda Baslilar | Paula Cembranos | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paula Cembranos (rating 1476 vs 1555).
- Paula Cembranos is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Seda Baslilar 0–1 Paula Cembranos (1).
- Note: Seda Baslilar makes many double faults (6.9/match).
- Note: Paula Cembranos makes many double faults (7.7/match).
Statistics
| Seda Baslilar | Paula Cembranos | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.7-10.4 | 12.3-9.9 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 6.9 | 7.7 |
| 1st serve % | 60.5% | 59.3% |
| Break % | 52.5% | 48.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
H2H · Seda Baslilar 0 – 1 Paula Cembranos (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Seda Baslilar 0–1 Paula Cembranos
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09/24 W15 Dijon | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Seda Baslilar
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Berta Bonardi W75 Le Neubourg |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Diana Marcinkevica W15 Dijon |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
| 31/08 | Valeriya Strakhova W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Olivia Gram W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/08 | Alba Rey Garcia W75 Koksijde |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Aliesia Reva W50 Dublin |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Lauren Dunne W50 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/07 | Hena Cehajic W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
1-2 | 7-8 | L |
| 19/07 | Leire De Ezcurra W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 06/07 | Zoziya Kardava W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Paula Cembranos
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Charlotte Maurey W75 Le Neubourg |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/09 | Malaika Rapolu W50 Evora |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Zoziya Kardava W50 Evora |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 06/09 | Ekaterina Yashina W50 Evora |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/08 | Zoziya Kardava W15 Logrono |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 21/08 | Jenna Defalco W15 Logrono |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/08 | Zi Ying Ruan W15 Logrono |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 18/08 | Iveta Dapkute W15 Logrono |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 07/08 | Ella Mcdonald W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Lina Glushko W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Seda Baslilar vs Paula Cembranos?
Our model gives 71% to Paula Cembranos, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.