Tennis · W35 Shenyang · 14/09, 05:00
Prediction: Aruzhan Sagandikova vs Jing-Jing Lu
Team pages: Aruzhan Sagandikova · Jing-Jing Lu
Prediction summary
Winner
Aruzhan Sagandikova
Jing-Jing Lu
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Aruzhan Sagandikova
6-4 (W-L)
Jing-Jing Lu
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aruzhan Sagandikova 1518 · Jing-Jing Lu 1503
| Aruzhan Sagandikova | Jing-Jing Lu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Jing-Jing Lu makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Aruzhan Sagandikova | Jing-Jing Lu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-10.7 | 10.3-12 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 5.1 |
| 1st serve % | 56.9% | 54.5% |
| Break % | 46.2% | 47.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aruzhan Sagandikova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Chengwei Han W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Ha Eum Lee W15 Astana |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Gaeul Jang W15 Astana |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Ekaterina Maklakova W15 Astana |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Kamonwan Yodpetch W15 Astana |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 10/07 | Ingkar Dyussebay W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Eva Korysheva W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/07 | Valeriia Iushchenko W15 Astana |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 18/06 | Ana Giraldi Requena W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 17/06 | Gala Ivanovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Jing-Jing Lu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Xiaowei Li W35 Shenyang |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 25/06 | Tiana Tian Deng W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 24/06 | Ekaterina Yashina W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/05 | Sunam Jeong W15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 20/04 | Ma Ruoxi W50 Baotou · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 09/04 | Yidi Yang W35 Anning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/04 | Chengwei Han W35 Anning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-7 | W |
| 18/11 | Kristiana Sidorova W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/11 | Jiangxue Han W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 22/10 | Anchisa Chanta ITF W35 Qian Daohu · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aruzhan Sagandikova vs Jing-Jing Lu?
Our model gives 51% to Jing-Jing Lu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.