Tennis · W35 Shenyang · 14/09, 05:00
Prediction: Polina Leykina vs Yingqun Sun
Team pages: Polina Leykina · Yingqun Sun
Prediction summary
Winner
Polina Leykina
Yingqun Sun
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Polina Leykina
7-3 (W-L)
Yingqun Sun
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Polina Leykina 1526 · Yingqun Sun 1482
| Polina Leykina | Yingqun Sun | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Polina Leykina (rating 1526 vs 1482).
Statistics
| Polina Leykina | Yingqun Sun | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.8 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-7.7 | 9.5-12.1 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 55.8% | 60.9% |
| Break % | 39.7% | 58.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Polina Leykina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Dabin Kim W15 Yeongwol |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Jeong In Choi W15 Yeongwol |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/08 | Radka Zelnickova W35 Krakow |
0-2 | 1-9 | L |
| 19/08 | Sofia Shapatava W35 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/08 | Sandra Samir W35 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/08 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W35 Bydgoszcz |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Valentina Khrebtova W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 12/07 | Jana Hossam Salah W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/07 | Ksenia Smirnova W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/07 | Jenny Duerst W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Yingqun Sun
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Hikaru Sato W75 Tianjin |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 27/08 | Han Shi W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Yuno Kitahara W15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 19/08 | Ya-Yi Yang W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Chia Yi Tsao W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Anastasiia Gureva W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Onyu Choi W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Maria Kalyakina W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Maralgoo Chogsomjav W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-14 | W |
| 08/07 | Sijia Wei W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 8-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Polina Leykina vs Yingqun Sun?
Our model gives 54% to Polina Leykina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.