Tennis · W35 Shenyang · 14/09, 05:00
Prediction: Shiyu Ye vs Asylzhan Arystanbekova
Team pages: Shiyu Ye · Asylzhan Arystanbekova
Prediction summary
Winner
Shiyu Ye
Asylzhan Arystanbekova
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Shiyu Ye
4-6 (W-L)
Asylzhan Arystanbekova
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shiyu Ye 1525 · Asylzhan Arystanbekova 1606
| Shiyu Ye | Asylzhan Arystanbekova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Asylzhan Arystanbekova (rating 1525 vs 1606).
- Asylzhan Arystanbekova is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Asylzhan Arystanbekova makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Shiyu Ye | Asylzhan Arystanbekova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.8-0.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-9.9 | 11.3-6.4 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 1 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 62.7% | 61.4% |
| Break % | 50.7% | 58% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shiyu Ye
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Jialan Cai W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/09 | Yujia Huang W50 Guiyang |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Momoko Kobori W50 Guiyang |
2-1 | 18-8 | W |
| 02/09 | Sofia Costoulas W75 Tianjin |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Rinko Matsuda W75 Tianjin |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/08 | Anchisa Chanta W75 Tianjin |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 25/08 | Han Shi W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Meiqi Guo W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-15 | L |
| 02/07 | Ha Eum Lee W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Sijia Wei W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
Asylzhan Arystanbekova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Ke Ren W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/08 | Miho Kuramochi W75 Tianjin |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Haruna Arakawa W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/08 | Irem Kurt W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/08 | Anna Pushkareva W15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/08 | Yuka Hosoki W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/08 | Su Jeong Jang W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/08 | Edda Mamedova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 8-1 | W |
| 08/08 | Anna Pushkareva W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Liel Marlies Rothensteiner W15 Astana |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shiyu Ye vs Asylzhan Arystanbekova?
Our model gives 53% to Asylzhan Arystanbekova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.