Tennis · Challenger Guangzhou · 15/09, 05:00
Prediction: Marat Sharipov vs Ilya Ivashka
Team pages: Marat Sharipov · Ilya Ivashka
Prediction summary
Winner
Marat Sharipov
Ilya Ivashka
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Marat Sharipov
6-4 (W-L)
Ilya Ivashka
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marat Sharipov 1590 · Ilya Ivashka 1591
| Marat Sharipov | Ilya Ivashka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Marat Sharipov dominates on serve: 7.1 aces and 44.5% break avg.
Statistics
| Marat Sharipov | Ilya Ivashka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (4) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.6 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-8.6 | 13.3-9.9 |
| Aces | 7.1 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 78.3% | 78.6% |
| Break % | 44.5% | 41.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marat Sharipov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Pavel Kotov Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/09 | Omar Jasika Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/09 | Taro Daniel Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 07/09 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 15/08 | Sean Cuenin M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Alexander Vasilev M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/08 | Anton Arzhankin M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/08 | Franco Ariel Vazquez M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/07 | Aaron Funk M25 Wetzlar |
1-1 | 8-7 | W |
| 24/07 | Andrej Martin M25 Ollersbach |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Ilya Ivashka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Luca Castelnuovo Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/09 | Yi Zhou Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/09 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 08/09 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/09 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Akira Santillan Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 01/09 | Yi Zhou Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 07/08 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Ergi Kirkin Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 03/08 | Oscar Weightman Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marat Sharipov vs Ilya Ivashka?
Our model gives 51% to Marat Sharipov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.