Tennis · UTR Pro Sydney Women · 18/09, 04:00
Prediction: Belle Thompson vs Magdalena Bresson
Team pages: Belle Thompson
Prediction summary
Winner
Belle Thompson
Magdalena Bresson
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Belle Thompson
9-1 (W-L)
Magdalena Bresson
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Belle Thompson 1633 · Magdalena Bresson 1488
| Belle Thompson | Magdalena Bresson | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 30% |
| Market | 94% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Belle Thompson (rating 1633 vs 1488).
- Belle Thompson is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Belle Thompson | Magdalena Bresson | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.2 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-5.1 | 11.3-12.4 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 70.9% | 53.6% |
| Break % | 52.1% | 41.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Belle Thompson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Laquisa Khan UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/09 | Sarah Munroe UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/09 | Piper Freeman UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/09 | Laquisa Khan UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/09 | Christina Dodaj UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/09 | Violet Apisah UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/09 | Madison Schwarz UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/09 | Sarah Munroe UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 28/08 | I Wen Wan UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Lucia Gale UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Magdalena Bresson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02 | Elyse Tse W75 Brisbane Qual |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 06/02 | Mahi Khore UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/02 | Sara Mickoska UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 04/02 | Jade Otway UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 03/02 | Kanako Osafune UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 24/01 | Harshini N Nagaraj UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 23/01 | Amodini Naik UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 22/01 | Riya Sachdeva UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/01 | Arunkumar Lakshmi Prabha UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 20/01 | Soha Sadiq UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Belle Thompson vs Magdalena Bresson?
Our model gives 83% to Belle Thompson, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.