Tennis · W75 Le Neubourg · 13/09, 14:30
Prediction: Naoko Eto vs Kim Chiarello
Team pages: Naoko Eto · Kim Chiarello
Prediction summary
Winner
Naoko Eto
Kim Chiarello
Estimated games
19.2
Recent form · 10 last
Naoko Eto
1-9 (W-L)
Kim Chiarello
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Naoko Eto 1383 · Kim Chiarello 1467
| Naoko Eto | Kim Chiarello | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 9% | 91% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kim Chiarello (rating 1383 vs 1467).
- Note: Kim Chiarello makes many double faults (6.2/match).
Statistics
| Naoko Eto | Kim Chiarello | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.2-1.8 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 4.1-11.4 | 9.5-11.5 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 3 | 6.2 |
| 1st serve % | 45.8% | 58.9% |
| Break % | 50.3% | 42.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Naoko Eto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Kayla Lorrimer W15 Dijon |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Anais Gabriel W15 Cap d'Agde |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Christina Bednarczyk W35 Verbier Qual |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Scarlet Kavanagh W35 Verbier |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Dune Vaissaud W15 Savitaipale |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Natalia Klys W15 Savitaipale |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/07 | Rina Saigo WTA Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 26/04 | Amy Zhu WTA Huzhou · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 19/04 | Sitong Chen W50 Baotou · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 26/03 | Amy Stevens W15 Swan Hill · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
Kim Chiarello
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Lisa Claeys W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 16/06 | Diana Martynov W75 Blois · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Sara Cakarevic W75 Blois · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/03 | Maria Garcia Cid W15 Gonesse · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-11 | L |
| 09/03 | Charlotte Cora Bruneton W15 Gonesse · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/03 | Jahnie Van Zyl W15 Hagetmau · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-11 | L |
| 01/03 | Lena Thomas Iglesias W15 Hagetmau · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 15/02 | Massiva Boukirat W50 Macon · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 08/02 | Weronika Ewald W50 Grenoble · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 16/11 | Ekaterina Ovcharenko ITF W75 Petange · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Naoko Eto vs Kim Chiarello?
Our model gives 78% to Kim Chiarello, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.