Tennis · Challenger Rennes · 15/09, 10:00
Prediction: Hamish Stewart vs Daniel Rincon
Team pages: Hamish Stewart · Daniel Rincon
Prediction summary
Winner
Hamish Stewart
Daniel Rincon
Estimated games
23.9
Recent form · 10 last
Hamish Stewart
5-5 (W-L)
Daniel Rincon
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Hamish Stewart
0–1
Daniel Rincon
(1 last)
- 28 Aug1-2 14-15L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hamish Stewart 1480 · Daniel Rincon 1500
| Hamish Stewart | Daniel Rincon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Hamish Stewart 0–1 Daniel Rincon (1).
Statistics
| Hamish Stewart | Daniel Rincon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.4 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-13 | 11.6-12.9 |
| Aces | 8.6 | 6.4 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 69.3% | 69.1% |
| Break % | 39.9% | 39.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.9
H2H · Hamish Stewart 0 – 1 Daniel Rincon (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hamish Stewart 0–1 Daniel Rincon
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08/25 Challenger Manacor | 1-2 | 14-15 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hamish Stewart
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Paul Inchauspe Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 08/07 | Iliyan Radulov M25 Roda de Bara |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 06/07 | Pablo Aunion M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 21/06 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 20/06 | Emilio Nava ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 15/06 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 14/06 | Keegan Smith Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 10/06 | Leandro Riedi Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 08/06 | Oliver Crawford Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Daniel Rincon
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Ugo Blanchet Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 08/09 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/08 | Tomas Barrios Vera US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Jordan Lee US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 24/08 | Titouan Droguet US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 04/08 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 27/07 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger San Marino · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 22/07 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hamish Stewart vs Daniel Rincon?
Our model gives 56% to Daniel Rincon, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

