Tennis · W50 Pazardzhik · 13/09, 10:00
Prediction: Barbora Michalkova vs Merel Hoedt
Team pages: Barbora Michalkova · Merel Hoedt
Prediction summary
Winner
Barbora Michalkova
Merel Hoedt
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Barbora Michalkova
5-5 (W-L)
Merel Hoedt
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Barbora Michalkova 1489 · Merel Hoedt 1549
| Barbora Michalkova | Merel Hoedt | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Merel Hoedt (rating 1489 vs 1549).
- Note: Merel Hoedt makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Barbora Michalkova | Merel Hoedt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Carpet | 100% (3) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-9.4 | 10.8-8.9 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 1 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 58.7% | 53.8% |
| Break % | 46.1% | 46% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Barbora Michalkova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Lucie Petruzelova W15 Radom |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Amelie Justine Hejtmanek W35 Trieste |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Mayuka Aikawa W50 Prague |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Alba Rey Garcia W50 Prague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/08 | Adela Polakovicova W50 Prague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/07 | Polina Berezina W15 Bielsko Biala |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/07 | Ivana Sebestova W75 Olomouc |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Katarzyna Wysoczanska UTR Pro Olomouc Women · Carpet |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 04/07 | Barbora Matouskova UTR Pro Olomouc Women · Carpet |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/07 | Vanesa Sulcova UTR Pro Olomouc Women · Carpet |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Merel Hoedt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Daria Yesypchuk W35 Reus · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Ashley Lahey W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 07/09 | Isabelle Cherny W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/08 | Vivian Wolff W50 Prague |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Anika Jaskova W50 Prague |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/08 | Karolina Vlckova W50 Prague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/08 | Anna Siskova W50 Hamburg |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 13/08 | Anastasia Zolotareva W50 Hamburg |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 12/08 | Astrid Lew Yan Foon W50 Hamburg |
2-0 | 10-5 | W |
| 10/08 | Sophie Greiner W50 Hamburg |
2-1 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Barbora Michalkova vs Merel Hoedt?
Our model gives 68% to Merel Hoedt, using surface Elo on carpet.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (carpet) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.