Tennis · W50 Pazardzhik · 13/09, 11:30
Prediction: Gaia Maduzzi vs Ralitsa Alexandrova
Team pages: Gaia Maduzzi
Prediction summary
Winner
Gaia Maduzzi
Ralitsa Alexandrova
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Gaia Maduzzi
8-2 (W-L)
Ralitsa Alexandrova
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gaia Maduzzi 1558 · Ralitsa Alexandrova 1440
| Gaia Maduzzi | Ralitsa Alexandrova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gaia Maduzzi (rating 1558 vs 1440).
- Gaia Maduzzi is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Gaia Maduzzi | Ralitsa Alexandrova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.6 | 0.9-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-7.8 | 11.5-13.4 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 1 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 61.3% | 46.7% |
| Break % | 63% | 64.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gaia Maduzzi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Denisa Zoldakova W75 Bytom |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Elena Malygina W75 Bytom |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann W75 Bytom |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/08 | Amelia Paszun W75 Bytom |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/08 | Sara Husar W75 Bytom |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/08 | Ariana Geerlings W35 Krakow |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 19/08 | Elena Malygina W35 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/08 | Sapfo Sakellaridi W35 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/08 | Sofia Shapatava W35 Bydgoszcz |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Ann Akasha Ceuca W35 Bydgoszcz |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Ralitsa Alexandrova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/06 | Iva Ivanovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Ioana Maria Sandru W15 Focsani · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 24/05 | Arina Bulatova W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/05 | Nela Silova UTR Pro Carvoeiro Women · Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 30/04 | Kate Sharabura UTR Pro Carvoeiro Women · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 29/04 | Claudia Hoste Ferrer UTR Pro Carvoeiro Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 28/04 | Mia Chudejova UTR Pro Carvoeiro Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 27/04 | Aneta Poborilova UTR Pro Carvoeiro Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/02 | Sara Gvozdenovic UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 27/02 | Andreea Diana Soare UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gaia Maduzzi vs Ralitsa Alexandrova?
Our model gives 80% to Gaia Maduzzi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.