Tennis · Challenger Szczecin · 15/09, 10:00
Prediction: Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Max Alcala Gurri
Team pages: Facundo Diaz Acosta · Max Alcala Gurri
Prediction summary
Winner
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Max Alcala Gurri
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Facundo Diaz Acosta
8-2 (W-L)
Max Alcala Gurri
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Facundo Diaz Acosta 1624 · Max Alcala Gurri 1543
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | Max Alcala Gurri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Facundo Diaz Acosta (rating 1624 vs 1543).
- Facundo Diaz Acosta is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | Max Alcala Gurri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (9) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.6 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.9-9.7 | 12.1-10.7 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 70.9% | 61.8% |
| Break % | 48.5% | 46.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Jaume Munar Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 11/09 | Sebastian Ofner Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/09 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/09 | Pol Martin Tiffon Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/09 | Quentin Halys US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 17-25 | L |
| 02/08 | Mili Poljicak Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/08 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/07 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Francesco Forti Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Max Alcala Gurri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 10/09 | Pavel Lagutin Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 08/09 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Facundo Mena Challenger Porto · Clay |
1-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Zsombor Piros US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Dylan Dietrich Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Martin Krumich Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 19/07 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/07 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Max Alcala Gurri?
Our model gives 68% to Facundo Diaz Acosta, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.