Tennis · WTA Valencia · 13/09, 12:00
Prediction: Nastasja Schunk vs Ekaterina Kazionova
Team pages: Nastasja Schunk · Ekaterina Kazionova
Prediction summary
Winner
Nastasja Schunk
Ekaterina Kazionova
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Nastasja Schunk
9-1 (W-L)
Ekaterina Kazionova
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nastasja Schunk 1594 · Ekaterina Kazionova 1458
| Nastasja Schunk | Ekaterina Kazionova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nastasja Schunk (rating 1594 vs 1458).
- Nastasja Schunk is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Ekaterina Kazionova makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Nastasja Schunk | Ekaterina Kazionova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.4 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-7 | 9.9-10.4 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 66.2% | 57% |
| Break % | 50.3% | 44.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nastasja Schunk
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Alicia Herrero Linana WTA Antalya · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Tena Lukas WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/09 | Ceylin Oz WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/08 | Francesca Pace W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/08 | Loes Ebeling Koning W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/08 | Tena Lukas W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/08 | Eva Bennemann W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Julia Koller W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 20/08 | Jana Kovackova W50 Prague |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 19/08 | Anastasia Tikhonova W50 Prague |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Ekaterina Kazionova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Ruth Roura Llaverias W35 Reus · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/07 | Margaux Rouvroy WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 26/07 | Ekaterina Yashina WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/07 | Arantxa Rus WTA Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Carmen Andreea Herea WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Rositsa Dencheva W35 Buzau |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Federica Sacco W35 Buzau |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 07/07 | Ilinca D Amariei W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Lucie Nguyen Tan W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Liv Boulard W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nastasja Schunk vs Ekaterina Kazionova?
Our model gives 76% to Nastasja Schunk, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.