Tennis · Challenger Szczecin · 13/09, 10:30
Prediction: Daniel Elahi Galan vs Michael Vrbensky
Team pages: Daniel Elahi Galan · Michael Vrbensky
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniel Elahi Galan
Michael Vrbensky
Estimated games
24
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Elahi Galan
5-5 (W-L)
Michael Vrbensky
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Elahi Galan 1523 · Michael Vrbensky 1418
| Daniel Elahi Galan | Michael Vrbensky | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniel Elahi Galan (rating 1523 vs 1418).
- Daniel Elahi Galan is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Michael Vrbensky makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Daniel Elahi Galan | Michael Vrbensky | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 20% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 0.8-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-11.4 | 11.7-14.5 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 5.4 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 72.8% | 64.6% |
| Break % | 47% | 39.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Elahi Galan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Marko Topo Challenger Tulln · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Federico Agustin Gomez Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/08 | Murkel Dellien Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/08 | Georgi Georgiev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 31/07 | Max Dahlin Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 30/07 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 28/07 | Pavel Kotov Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 27/07 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Michiel de Krom Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/07 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Michael Vrbensky
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Prague · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Nikoloz Basilashvili Challenger San Marino · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 27/07 | Maxime Janvier Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 20/07 | Patrik Niklas-Salminen Challenger Tampere · Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 28/06 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 15/06 | Milos Karol Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 31/05 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Dali Blanch Challenger Tunis · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/05 | Robin Bertrand Challenger Tunis · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 26/04 | Daniel Cukierman Challenger Mauthausen · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Elahi Galan vs Michael Vrbensky?
Our model gives 74% to Daniel Elahi Galan, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.