Tennis · WTA Guadalajara · 15/09, 18:29

Prediction: Alycia Parks vs Mayar Sherif

Team pages: Alycia Parks · Mayar Sherif

Prediction summary
Winner
54% 46%
Alycia Parks Mayar Sherif
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Alycia Parks 1-9 (W-L)
LLLWLLLLLL
Mayar Sherif 6-4 (W-L)
LWWWWLWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alycia Parks 1464 · Mayar Sherif 1571
Alycia ParksMayar Sherif
Our model35%65%
Market70%30%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mayar Sherif (rating 1464 vs 1571).
  • Alycia Parks dominates on serve: 6.3 aces and 49.7% break avg.
  • Mayar Sherif is in better form: 80% recent wins.
  • Note: Alycia Parks makes many double faults (7.8/match).

Statistics

Alycia ParksMayar Sherif
Win %40%80%
Win % · Hard 40% (10) 0% (2)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.51.6-0.8
Games (G-P)9.7-12.212.9-10.9
Aces6.30.8
Double faults7.82.1
1st serve %69.7%57.9%
Break %49.7%43.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alycia Parks

LWWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/08 Taylah Preston
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
27/08 Ann Li
WTA Monterrey · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
27/08 Maja Chwalinska
WTA Monterrey · Hard
2-1 15-10 W
25/08 Petra Marcinko
WTA Monterrey · Hard
2-1 14-14 W
14/08 Viktorija Golubic
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
06/08 Alexandra Eala
WTA Toronto · Hard
1-2 9-16 L
03/08 Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
WTA Toronto · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
20/07 Lucie Havlickova
WTA Prague · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
17/07 Maria Sakkari
WTA Athens · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
15/07 Mai Hontama
WTA Athens · Hard
2-1 19-14 W

Mayar Sherif

WWWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/09 Nikola Bartunkova
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
24/08 Oleksandra Oliynykova
WTA Monterrey · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
24/07 Paula Badosa
WTA Hamburg · Clay
2-1 19-17 W
23/07 Elsa Jacquemot
WTA Hamburg · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
22/07 Simona Waltert
WTA Hamburg · Clay
2-1 18-17 W
18/07 Oleksandra Oliynykova
WTA Iasi · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
17/07 Yulia Putintseva
WTA Iasi · Clay
2-1 16-14 W
16/07 Kaitlin Quevedo
WTA Iasi · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
14/07 Dalma Galfi
WTA Iasi · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
12/07 Jeline Vandromme
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
2-1 17-17 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alycia Parks vs Mayar Sherif?

Our model gives 54% to Alycia Parks, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.