Tennis · Challenger Phan Thiet Qual · 13/09, 05:00
Prediction: Yuta Kawahashi vs Martin Borisiouk
Team pages: Yuta Kawahashi · Martin Borisiouk
Prediction summary
Winner
Yuta Kawahashi
Martin Borisiouk
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Yuta Kawahashi
5-5 (W-L)
Martin Borisiouk
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yuta Kawahashi 1460 · Martin Borisiouk 1553
| Yuta Kawahashi | Martin Borisiouk | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Martin Borisiouk (rating 1460 vs 1553).
- Martin Borisiouk is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Yuta Kawahashi | Martin Borisiouk | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.3-10.4 | 12.8-8.9 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 9 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 62.5% | 85.4% |
| Break % | 39% | 35.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yuta Kawahashi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Sam Ryan Ziegann Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Abhishek Bastola Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/09 | Ryota Tanuma M25 Urayasu |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Qian Sun M15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 28/07 | Sam Ryan Ziegann M15 Bali |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Ryotaro Taguchi M15 Bali |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Noritaka Koizumi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-1 | 5-6 | L |
| 30/06 | Hanyi Liu M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Arvid Nordquist M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Martin Borisiouk
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 07/09 | Ethan Cook Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/09 | Takuya Kumasaka Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/08 | Karan Singh Challenger Astana · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 07/08 | Arnav Vijay Paparkar M15 Astana |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 06/08 | Egor Agafonov M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Arseniy Trebukhin M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/07 | Arvid Nordquist M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/07 | Hoyoung Roh M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/07 | Daniil Sarksian M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yuta Kawahashi vs Martin Borisiouk?
Our model gives 66% to Martin Borisiouk, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.