Tennis · Challenger Guangzhou · 13/09, 11:30
Prediction: Mikalai Haliak vs Yuta Kikuchi
Team pages: Mikalai Haliak · Yuta Kikuchi
Prediction summary
Winner
Mikalai Haliak
Yuta Kikuchi
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Mikalai Haliak
4-6 (W-L)
Yuta Kikuchi
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mikalai Haliak 1461 · Yuta Kikuchi 1468
| Mikalai Haliak | Yuta Kikuchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Mikalai Haliak | Yuta Kikuchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.2 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.3-8.8 | 8.5-11.5 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 1 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 66% | 61.1% |
| Break % | 50.9% | 48.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mikalai Haliak
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Alexandr Binda Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Jesse Delaney Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 13/08 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 7-9 | L |
| 11/08 | Liangxuan Liu M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/08 | Daniil Sarksian M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 3-8 | L |
| 09/06 | Pedro Sakamoto M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 14/04 | Bekkhan Atlangeriev M25 Anning · ~Hard |
0-1 | 7-9 | L |
| 08/04 | Akira Santillan M25 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-10 | L |
| 01/04 | Luca Castelnuovo M25 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-1 | 4-6 | L |
| 31/03 | Egor Pleshivtsev M25 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Yuta Kikuchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Yunseong Chung M25 Sapporo |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Sena Okabe M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/08 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Qian Sun M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Shinji Hazawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 20/05 | Noritaka Koizumi M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 15/05 | Uisung Park M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Weiwen Pan M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-4 | W |
| 13/05 | Charlie Pade M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/05 | Taisei Ichikawa M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mikalai Haliak vs Yuta Kikuchi?
Our model gives 54% to Mikalai Haliak, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.