Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · 12/09, 20:30
Prediction: Midori Castillo Meza vs Lily Fairclough
Team pages: Midori Castillo Meza · Lily Fairclough
Prediction summary
Winner
Midori Castillo Meza
Lily Fairclough
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Midori Castillo Meza
6-4 (W-L)
Lily Fairclough
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Midori Castillo Meza 1553 · Lily Fairclough 1563
| Midori Castillo Meza | Lily Fairclough | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Lily Fairclough makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Midori Castillo Meza | Lily Fairclough | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-9.6 | 11.7-8.9 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 4.5 |
| Double faults | 2 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 56.1% | 68.8% |
| Break % | 43.4% | 42.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Midori Castillo Meza
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Bentley Sparks UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Shaya Jovanovic UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-8 | W |
| 08/09 | Abigail Haile UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 08/09 | Simone Kay UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 02/07 | Jo Yee Chan W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Jessica Bernales W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 27/06 | Alyssa Ahn W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Amy Zhu W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Kelly Keller W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Ingrid C Millan W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Lily Fairclough
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | My-Anh Holmes UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 10/09 | Tricia Mar UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/09 | Kate Fakih UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 08/09 | Yelyzaveta Chainykova UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/08 | Yilin Yan UTR Pro Brisbane Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 06/08 | Eva Lopez UTR Pro Brisbane Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Isabel Cairns UTR Pro Brisbane Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/08 | Emma Tran UTR Pro Brisbane Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/08 | Julie Adele Bedard UTR Pro Brisbane Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Violet Apisah W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Midori Castillo Meza vs Lily Fairclough?
Our model gives 55% to Midori Castillo Meza, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.