Tennis · UTR Pro Sydney · 17/09, 03:30
Prediction: Arjun Mehrotra vs Jera Staley
Team pages: Arjun Mehrotra · Jera Staley
Prediction summary
Winner
Arjun Mehrotra
Jera Staley
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Arjun Mehrotra
8-2 (W-L)
Jera Staley
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Arjun Mehrotra
2–0
Jera Staley
(2 last)
- 11 Feb2-0 12-4W
- 02 Jun2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arjun Mehrotra 1600 · Jera Staley 1540
| Arjun Mehrotra | Jera Staley | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arjun Mehrotra (rating 1600 vs 1540).
- Head-to-head: Arjun Mehrotra 2–0 Jera Staley (2).
Statistics
| Arjun Mehrotra | Jera Staley | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (6) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-7.9 | 11.2-8.6 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 72% | 73.9% |
| Break % | 49.5% | 35.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
H2H · Arjun Mehrotra 2 – 0 Jera Staley (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Arjun Mehrotra 2–0 Jera Staley
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02/26 UTR Pro Gold Coast | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/06/25 UTR Pro Lovedale | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arjun Mehrotra
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Haruto Ishikawa UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Jeremy Beale UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/09 | Pablo Perez Ramos M15 Bali |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 09/09 | Ha Minh Duc Vu M15 Bali |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 03/09 | Digvijay Pratap Singh M15 Bali |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 01/09 | Jake Dembo M15 Bali |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/08 | Jake Dembo ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/08 | Thomas Patton ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 21/08 | Igor Kolaric ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/08 | Abhishek Bastola ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Jera Staley
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Haruto Ishikawa UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Jerome Estephan UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/09 | Matthew Burton UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/09 | James Girdler UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/09 | Cameron Burton UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 08/09 | Jesse Gothelf UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/09 | Casey Hoole UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Cody Atkinson UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 27/08 | Jacob Cairncross UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/08 | Kuma Ito UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arjun Mehrotra vs Jera Staley?
Our model gives 64% to Arjun Mehrotra, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.