Tennis · UTR Pro Sydney · 14/09, 04:00
Prediction: Jera Staley vs Jerome Estephan
Team pages: Jera Staley · Jerome Estephan
Prediction summary
Winner
Jera Staley
Jerome Estephan
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Jera Staley
7-3 (W-L)
Jerome Estephan
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jera Staley 1554 · Jerome Estephan 1403
| Jera Staley | Jerome Estephan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 30% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jera Staley (rating 1554 vs 1403).
- Jera Staley is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Jera Staley | Jerome Estephan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 14% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 0.4-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-8.8 | 6.6-11.2 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 74.4% | 61.4% |
| Break % | 47.9% | 29.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jera Staley
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Matthew Burton UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/09 | James Girdler UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/09 | Cameron Burton UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 08/09 | Jesse Gothelf UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/09 | Casey Hoole UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Cody Atkinson UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 27/08 | Jacob Cairncross UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/08 | Kuma Ito UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/08 | James Girdler UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/08 | Eric Tripathi UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
Jerome Estephan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Kuma Ito UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/09 | Alec Braund UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Matthew Burton UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Dimitri Bagaric UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/04 | Fitriadi M Rifqi M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/04 | Gunawan Trismuwantara M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-1 | 9-9 | W |
| 09/03 | Jamie Mackenzie M25 Timaru |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/03 | Felix Littlejohn M25 Timaru |
2-0 | 11-4 | W |
| 02/03 | Oliver Clark Anderson M25 Launceston |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jera Staley vs Jerome Estephan?
Our model gives 67% to Jera Staley, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.