Tennis · M15 Tsaghkadzor · 12/09, 08:30
Prediction: Dmitry Popko vs Grigory Shebekin
Team pages: Dmitry Popko · Grigory Shebekin
Prediction summary
Winner
Dmitry Popko
Grigory Shebekin
Estimated games
24.2
Recent form · 10 last
Dmitry Popko
7-3 (W-L)
Grigory Shebekin
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dmitry Popko 1537 · Grigory Shebekin 1459
| Dmitry Popko | Grigory Shebekin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dmitry Popko (rating 1537 vs 1459).
Statistics
| Dmitry Popko | Grigory Shebekin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1.2-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-9.6 | 12.8-15.2 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 8.4 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 67.7% | 67.3% |
| Break % | 47.3% | 39% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dmitry Popko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Branko Djuric M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 05/09 | Alexandre Aubriot M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/09 | Edouard Villoslada M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Gokberk Saritas M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 30/08 | Branko Djuric M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 29/08 | Kristijan Juhas M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Bogota · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 06/07 | Cristian Felipe Sanchez Rojas Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/07 | Mateo Castaneda Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/06 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Quito · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Grigory Shebekin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Petr Bar Biryukov M15 Astana |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 30/05 | Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 13/05 | David Eichenseher M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 06/05 | Arjun Rathi M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/04 | Daniel Siniakov M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/04 | Karan Singh M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 10/04 | Paul Jubb M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 09/04 | Karim Ibrahim M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 08/04 | Kris Van Wyk M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 02/04 | Marek Gengel M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dmitry Popko vs Grigory Shebekin?
Our model gives 69% to Dmitry Popko, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.