Tennis · W50 Guiyang · 11/09, 04:00
Prediction: Daria Khomutsianskaya vs Darya Astakhova
Team pages: Daria Khomutsianskaya · Darya Astakhova
Prediction summary
Winner
Daria Khomutsianskaya
Darya Astakhova
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Daria Khomutsianskaya
4-6 (W-L)
Darya Astakhova
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daria Khomutsianskaya 1527 · Darya Astakhova 1560
| Daria Khomutsianskaya | Darya Astakhova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Daria Khomutsianskaya | Darya Astakhova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-10.4 | 11.8-10 |
| Aces | 5.1 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 64.1% | 62.8% |
| Break % | 58.5% | 60.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daria Khomutsianskaya
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Sijia Wei W50 Guiyang |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/09 | Kyoka Okamura W50 Guiyang |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Joanna Garland W75 Tianjin |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Sonja Zhiyenbayeva W35 Vigo |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Tiphanie Lemaitre W35 Vigo |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 11/08 | Yuliya Hatouka W35 Vigo |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 07/08 | Rina Saigo W75 Ourense |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Oceane Dodin W75 Ourense |
2-1 | 16-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Elyse Tse W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Tatiana Prozorova WTA Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Darya Astakhova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Viktoria Morvayova W50 Guiyang |
2-0 | 10-3 | W |
| 09/09 | JiaYi Wang W50 Guiyang |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 06/09 | Joanna Garland W75 Tianjin |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Patcharin Cheapchandej W75 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/09 | Han Shi W75 Tianjin |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 03/09 | Miho Kuramochi W75 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Yuki Naito W75 Tianjin |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Marina Bassols Ribera US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 21/08 | Rada Zolotareva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-10 | L |
| 20/08 | Lucija Ciric Bagaric W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daria Khomutsianskaya vs Darya Astakhova?
Our model gives 60% to Darya Astakhova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.