Tennis · M15 Monastir · 10/09, 11:30
Prediction: Muhammad Shoaib vs Oscar Brown
Team pages: Muhammad Shoaib · Oscar Brown
Prediction summary
Winner
Muhammad Shoaib
Oscar Brown
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Muhammad Shoaib
7-3 (W-L)
Oscar Brown
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Muhammad Shoaib 1582 · Oscar Brown 1529
| Muhammad Shoaib | Oscar Brown | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Muhammad Shoaib (rating 1582 vs 1529).
- Muhammad Shoaib dominates on serve: 6.7 aces and 46.9% break avg.
Statistics
| Muhammad Shoaib | Oscar Brown | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 88% (8) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-8.7 | 10.4-9.1 |
| Aces | 6.7 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 73.1% | 61.4% |
| Break % | 46.9% | 47.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Muhammad Shoaib
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Ahmed Darmoul M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/07 | Dakotah Bobo M15 Rochester |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Sean Grosman M15 Rochester |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 10/05 | Arvid Nordquist M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 09/05 | Edoardo Cherie Ligniere M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/05 | Kerem Yilmaz M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/05 | Adam Faragcao M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
1-0 | 6-1 | W |
| 06/05 | Melih Anavatan M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/05 | Nikita Ianin M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 02/05 | Fanming Meng M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Oscar Brown
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Edison Ambarzumjan M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 02/09 | Ammar Elamin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-1 | 3-7 | L |
| 18/08 | Esteban Talavera Cortes M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 12/08 | Stefan Popovic M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Sergej Zivkovic M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Charles Broom M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Benjamin Gusic Wan M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/08 | Rocco Piatti M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/08 | Zach Stephens M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/08 | Matthew Carroll M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Muhammad Shoaib vs Oscar Brown?
Our model gives 53% to Oscar Brown, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.