Tennis · M15 Hurghada · 10/09, 08:00
Prediction: Conor Gannon vs Gabriele Thomas Brancatelli
Team pages: Conor Gannon · Gabriele Thomas Brancatelli
Prediction summary
Winner
Conor Gannon
Gabriele Thomas Brancatelli
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Conor Gannon
6-4 (W-L)
Gabriele Thomas Brancatelli
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Conor Gannon 1538 · Gabriele Thomas Brancatelli 1558
| Conor Gannon | Gabriele Thomas Brancatelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Conor Gannon dominates on serve: 7.6 aces and 55.3% break avg.
Statistics
| Conor Gannon | Gabriele Thomas Brancatelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (4) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-11 | 10.8-8.4 |
| Aces | 7.6 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 75.3% | 73% |
| Break % | 55.3% | 54.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Conor Gannon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Dev Javia M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-11 | L |
| 04/09 | Thijs Boogaard M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/09 | Omar Kandil M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Gawad El Feky M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/08 | Radu Albot Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Alec Deckers Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 05/08 | Anton Matusevich M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Markus Molder M15 Dublin |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 01/08 | Daniel De Jonge M15 Dublin |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 31/07 | Matt Ponchet M15 Dublin |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Gabriele Thomas Brancatelli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Gandharv Gourav Kothapalli M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/09 | Georgios Nouchakis M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Cristian Campese M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/08 | Dimitris Azoidis M15 Turku |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 11/08 | Frans Ronnholm M15 Turku |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/08 | Sten Hiiesalu M15 Turku |
2-1 | 10-8 | W |
| 23/07 | Sebastian Gima M25 Bacau |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 21/07 | Andrea Brignacca M25 Bacau |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 21/05 | Maks Kasnikowski M25 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Aleksandar Lavrnja M25 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Conor Gannon vs Gabriele Thomas Brancatelli?
Our model gives 64% to Conor Gannon, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.