Tennis · M15 Tsaghkadzor · 10/09, 10:00
Prediction: Matteo Vavassori vs Niklas Guttau
Team pages: Matteo Vavassori · Niklas Guttau
Prediction summary
Winner
Matteo Vavassori
Niklas Guttau
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Matteo Vavassori
4-6 (W-L)
Niklas Guttau
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matteo Vavassori 1516 · Niklas Guttau 1581
| Matteo Vavassori | Niklas Guttau | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Niklas Guttau (rating 1516 vs 1581).
- Niklas Guttau is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Matteo Vavassori | Niklas Guttau | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-9.2 | 12.8-8.9 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 65.1% | 68.4% |
| Break % | 39.2% | 53.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matteo Vavassori
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Sebastian Gima M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Andre Meinertz M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/08 | Luc Wieland M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Giacomo Crisostomo M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Filiberto Fumagalli M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-9 | W |
| 14/06 | Oren Ezerzer M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/05 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Matteo Mura M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/03 | Edoardo Zanada M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/02 | Alessandro Spadola M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-1 | 8-12 | L |
Niklas Guttau
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Mikayel Avanesyan M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/08 | Michael Savano M25 Poznan |
0-2 | 7-9 | L |
| 27/08 | Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Kacper Knitter M25 Poznan |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 23/08 | Leo Borg M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 22/08 | Jan Simonsson M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 21/08 | Kevin Edengren M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 20/08 | Alessandro Battiston M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/08 | Isac Stroemberg M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/08 | Olle Wallin Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matteo Vavassori vs Niklas Guttau?
Our model gives 70% to Niklas Guttau, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.