Tennis · WTA Barranquilla · 09/09, 23:30
Prediction: Julia Riera vs Mary Stoiana
Team pages: Julia Riera · Mary Stoiana
Prediction summary
Winner
Julia Riera
Mary Stoiana
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Julia Riera
7-3 (W-L)
Mary Stoiana
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Julia Riera 1585 · Mary Stoiana 1542
| Julia Riera | Mary Stoiana | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Julia Riera (rating 1585 vs 1542).
- Note: Mary Stoiana makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Julia Riera | Mary Stoiana | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-7.5 | 12.3-11.4 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 71.4% | 65.6% |
| Break % | 59.6% | 51.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Julia Riera
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Dominika Salkova WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/08 | Viktoria Hruncakova US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 25/07 | Laura Pigossi W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/07 | Nauhany Vitoria Leme Da Silva W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/07 | Carolina Bohrer Martins W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/07 | Nuria Brancaccio WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 16/07 | Danka Kovinic WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 14/07 | Darja Semenistaja WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
Mary Stoiana
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Jazmin Ortenzi WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/09 | Alexandra Eala US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Yue Yuan US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 26/08 | Katie Swan US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 25/08 | Harmony Tan US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/08 | Tereza Valentova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Oksana Selekhmeteva WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 11/08 | Veronika Erjavec WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/08 | Alina Korneeva WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 29/07 | Peyton Stearns WTA Memphis · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Julia Riera vs Mary Stoiana?
Our model gives 58% to Mary Stoiana, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.