Tennis · WTA Barranquilla · 09/09, 22:00
Prediction: Kayla Day vs Elsa Jacquemot
Team pages: Kayla Day · Elsa Jacquemot
Prediction summary
Winner
Kayla Day
Elsa Jacquemot
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Kayla Day
6-4 (W-L)
Elsa Jacquemot
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kayla Day 1513 · Elsa Jacquemot 1478
| Kayla Day | Elsa Jacquemot | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Kayla Day dominates on serve: 6.1 aces and 43% break avg.
- Note: Kayla Day makes many double faults (4.4/match).
- Note: Elsa Jacquemot makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Kayla Day | Elsa Jacquemot | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 0.8-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-12.2 | 8.9-10.1 |
| Aces | 6.1 | 3 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 65.7% | 64.6% |
| Break % | 43% | 58.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kayla Day
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Suzan Lamens WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Julieta Pareja US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/08 | Shuai Zhang WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 13/08 | Yue Yuan WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 11/08 | Taylah Preston WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/08 | Coco Gauff WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Diane Parry WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 01/08 | Hanyu Guo WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/07 | Mai Hontama WTA Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 30/06 | Madison Keys Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
Elsa Jacquemot
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Emanuela Lares WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 07/09 | Ekaterina Ovcharenko WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 31/08 | Marie Bouzkova US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Anna Bondar WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Rebecca Sramkova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Mayar Sherif WTA Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Clara Burel WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Ilinca D Amariei WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kayla Day vs Elsa Jacquemot?
Our model gives 63% to Kayla Day, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.