Tennis · WTA Barranquilla · 09/09, 20:30
Prediction: Varvara Lepchenko vs Claire Liu
Team pages: Varvara Lepchenko · Claire Liu
Prediction summary
Winner
Varvara Lepchenko
Claire Liu
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Varvara Lepchenko
7-3 (W-L)
Claire Liu
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Varvara Lepchenko
1–1
Claire Liu
(2 last)
- 21 Feb1-2 14-14L
- 28 Feb2-1 15-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Varvara Lepchenko 1463 · Claire Liu 1507
| Varvara Lepchenko | Claire Liu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Claire Liu (rating 1463 vs 1507).
Statistics
| Varvara Lepchenko | Claire Liu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-12.6 | 10.5-10.3 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 62.4% | 63.9% |
| Break % | 52.2% | 48.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
H2H · Varvara Lepchenko 1 – 1 Claire Liu (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Varvara Lepchenko 1–1 Claire Liu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/24 WTA Puerto Vallarta | 1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 28/02/21 ITF W25 Boca Raton | 2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Varvara Lepchenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Katrina Scott WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Gabriela Knutson US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Alina Korneeva WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Emerson Jones WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 26/07 | Polina Kudermetova WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 25/07 | Clervie Ngounoue WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 20/07 | Elina Avanesyan WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 19/07 | Anna Petkovic WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/07 | Clara Burel WTA Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 13/07 | Alevtina Ibragimova WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Claire Liu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Xiaodi You WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 24/08 | Heather Watson US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 13/08 | Sinja Kraus WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Polina Iatcenko WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Ipek Oz WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/07 | Maria Sara Popa WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Sinja Kraus WTA Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Coco Gauff Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Zeynep Sonmez Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Varvara Lepchenko vs Claire Liu?
Our model gives 67% to Claire Liu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.