Tennis · WTA Barranquilla · 09/09, 22:00

Prediction: Emiliana Arango vs Carol Young Suh Lee

Team pages: Emiliana Arango · Carol Young Suh Lee

Prediction summary
Winner
41% 59%
Emiliana Arango Carol Young Suh Lee
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Emiliana Arango 3-7 (W-L)
LWLLLWLLLW
Carol Young Suh Lee 5-5 (W-L)
WLWLLWWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Emiliana Arango 1486 · Carol Young Suh Lee 1556
Emiliana ArangoCarol Young Suh Lee
Our model40%60%
Market42%58%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carol Young Suh Lee (rating 1486 vs 1556).
  • Carol Young Suh Lee is in better form: 70% recent wins.

Statistics

Emiliana ArangoCarol Young Suh Lee
Win %40%70%
Win % · Hard 50% (8) 70% (10)
Sets (G-P)1-1.41.6-0.9
Games (G-P)10.4-11.413.1-10.9
Aces1.54.1
Double faults3.82.5
1st serve %61.4%64.8%
Break %44.3%48.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 22

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Emiliana Arango

WLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/09 Maria Paulina Perez Garcia
WTA Barranquilla · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
30/08 Xinyu Wang
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
22/08 Panna Udvardy
WTA Monterrey · Hard
1-2 15-14 L
16/08 Iga Swiatek
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
14/08 Venus Williams
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
13/08 Nadia Podoroska
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
2-1 17-14 W
13/08 Aliaksandra Sasnovich
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
2-1 15-14 W
01/08 Lois Boisson
WTA Toronto · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
14/07 Tamara Zidansek
WTA Iasi · Clay
1-2 12-17 L
08/07 Paula Badosa
WTA Bastad · Clay
0-2 5-12 L

Carol Young Suh Lee

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/09 Vendula Valdmannova
WTA Barranquilla · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
30/08 Katie Boulter
US Open Women · Hard
1-2 10-15 L
13/08 Polina Kudermetova
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
1-2 15-18 L
08/08 Gabriela Knutson
WTA Warsaw · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
07/08 Vendula Valdmannova
WTA Warsaw · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
06/08 Weronika Falkowska
WTA Warsaw · Hard
2-1 16-13 W
05/08 Aliona Falei
WTA Warsaw · Hard
2-1 14-10 W
04/08 Elsa Jacquemot
WTA Warsaw · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
22/07 Marie Bouzkova
WTA Prague · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
20/07 Veronika Podrez
WTA Prague · Hard
2-1 17-10 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Emiliana Arango vs Carol Young Suh Lee?

Our model gives 59% to Carol Young Suh Lee, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.