Tennis · M15 Leme · 09/09, 15:00

Prediction: Kaue Noatto vs Rafael Tosetto

Team pages: Rafael Tosetto

Prediction summary
Winner
28% 72%
Kaue Noatto Rafael Tosetto
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Kaue Noatto 4-6 (W-L)
LWLWWLLLLW
Rafael Tosetto 4-6 (W-L)
LLWLLLWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kaue Noatto 1496 · Rafael Tosetto 1556
Kaue NoattoRafael Tosetto
Our model41%59%
Market17%83%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rafael Tosetto (rating 1496 vs 1556).

Statistics

Kaue NoattoRafael Tosetto
Win %50%60%
Win % · Clay 33% (3) 75% (4)
Sets (G-P)1-1.21.3-0.9
Games (G-P)9.3-9.710.8-11.4
Aces1.32.2
Double faults2.22.3
1st serve %62.7%65%
Break %42.7%37.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kaue Noatto

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/09 Vitor Machado De Melo Cunha
M15 Leme
2-0 8-4 W
01/09 Luiz Felipe Silva
M15 Porto Velho
0-2 7-11 L
04/08 Pedro Dietrich
M25 Londrina
0-2 5-12 L
03/08 Gabriel Schenekenberg
M25 Londrina
2-1 12-9 W
22/07 Bastian Malla
M25 Sao Paulo
0-2 6-13 L
21/07 Ryan Augusto Dos Santos
M25 Sao Paulo
2-0 12-7 W
20/07 Breno Braga
M25 Sao Paulo
2-0 12-7 W
04/06 Carlos Maria Zarate
M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
02/06 Luka Bojicic Ono
M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay
2-1 16-10 W
18/05 Ryan Augusto Dos Santos
M15 Maringa Qual · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L

Rafael Tosetto

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/09 Mateus Alves
M15 Porto Velho
0-2 4-12 L
04/09 Enzo Crevelaro
M15 Porto Velho
2-0 12-8 W
03/09 Lucas Zancheta
M15 Porto Velho
2-0 14-10 W
02/09 Lucca C Pignaton
M15 Porto Velho
2-0 12-5 W
14/08 Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
13/08 Maxwell Exsted
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-1 15-13 W
12/08 Ezequiel Monferrer
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-1 14-16 W
11/08 Benjamin Torrealba
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
04/08 Juan Sebastian Osorio
M25 Londrina
1-2 11-17 L
29/07 Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida
M15 Sao Paulo
0-1 11-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kaue Noatto vs Rafael Tosetto?

Our model gives 72% to Rafael Tosetto, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.