Tennis · W15 Dijon · 09/09, 10:00

Prediction: Lian Tran vs Hanna Bougouffa

Team pages: Lian Tran · Hanna Bougouffa

Prediction summary
Winner
67% 33%
Lian Tran Hanna Bougouffa
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Lian Tran 3-7 (W-L)
LLLLWLLWLW
Hanna Bougouffa 7-3 (W-L)
WLLWLWWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lian Tran 1481 · Hanna Bougouffa 1530
Lian TranHanna Bougouffa
Our model43%57%
Market87%13%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hanna Bougouffa (rating 1481 vs 1530).
  • Note: Hanna Bougouffa makes many double faults (4.9/match).

Statistics

Lian TranHanna Bougouffa
Win %40%60%
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.31.4-0.8
Games (G-P)11-10.811-8.8
Aces0.31
Double faults3.84.9
1st serve %54.7%58.4%
Break %51%57.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lian Tran

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/09 Fabienne Gettwart
W15 Dijon
2-0 12-4 W
05/09 Rikke De Koning
W15 Haren
1-2 12-13 L
03/09 Angelina Wirges
W15 Haren
2-0 12-7 W
02/09 Alina Nesmianovych
W15 Haren
2-1 15-14 W
25/08 Daria Yesypchuk
W50 Oldenzaal
0-2 7-12 L
24/08 Kaat Coppez
W50 Oldenzaal
2-0 13-5 W
18/08 Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen
W15 Wanfercee-Baulet
0-2 10-13 L
09/08 Rasheeda McAdoo
W50 Hamburg
0-2 12-14 L
02/08 Sofia Shapatava
W75 Koksijde
0-2 7-13 L
22/07 Madelief Hageman
W50 Horb
0-2 10-13 L

Hanna Bougouffa

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/09 Mila Bastianelli
W15 Dijon
2-0 12-6 W
07/09 Ando Tiantsoa Ratre
W15 Dijon
2-0 12-4 W
06/09 Justine Fuchs
W15 Dijon
2-0 12-8 W
31/08 Astrid Cirotte
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer
1-2 15-18 L
30/08 Elycia Savignac
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer
2-0 12-4 W
13/08 Francisca Jorge
W35 Vigo
0-2 6-12 L
12/08 Iveta Dapkute
W35 Vigo
2-0 12-5 W
11/08 Madhurima Sawant
W35 Vigo
1-2 10-11 L
22/07 Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard
W15 Nogent-sur-Marne
0-2 7-13 L
20/07 Federica Trevisan
W15 Nogent-sur-Marne
2-0 12-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lian Tran vs Hanna Bougouffa?

Our model gives 67% to Lian Tran.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.