Tennis · W15 Dijon · 09/09, 10:00

Prediction: Kayla Lorrimer vs Sarah Iliev

Team pages: Sarah Iliev

Prediction summary
Winner
37% 63%
Kayla Lorrimer Sarah Iliev
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Kayla Lorrimer 7-3 (W-L)
WWLWWLLWWW
Sarah Iliev 3-7 (W-L)
LLLWLLWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kayla Lorrimer 1552 · Sarah Iliev 1451
Kayla LorrimerSarah Iliev
Our model64%36%
Market14%86%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kayla Lorrimer (rating 1552 vs 1451).
  • Kayla Lorrimer is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: Sarah Iliev makes many double faults (4/match).

Statistics

Kayla LorrimerSarah Iliev
Win %70%30%
Win % · Hard 67% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.90.7-1.5
Games (G-P)9.6-8.79.3-11.8
Aces1.10.8
Double faults2.34
1st serve %63.1%56.7%
Break %62%44.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kayla Lorrimer

LLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/09 Naoko Eto
W15 Dijon
2-0 13-6 W
07/09 Alina Nesmianovych
W15 Dijon
2-1 11-12 W
06/09 Hannah Schaefer
W15 Dijon
2-0 12-6 W
01/09 Tatsiana Sasnouskaya
W15 Cap d'Agde
0-2 4-12 L
10/06 Diana Martynov
W35 Nice
0-2 3-11 L
09/06 Alessia Popescu
W35 Nice
2-0 12-4 W
08/06 Estella Jaeger
W35 Nice
2-1 12-10 W
11/09 Victoria Milovanova
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
10/09 Tasnim Ismail
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
09/09 Martyna Zaremba
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 10-8 W

Sarah Iliev

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/09 Alice Tubello
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer
0-2 9-13 L
24/07 Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard
W15 Nogent-sur-Marne
0-2 6-12 L
23/07 Marcelina Podlinska
W15 Nogent-sur-Marne
2-1 14-14 W
22/07 Ylenia Zocco
W15 Nogent-sur-Marne
2-0 12-4 W
14/07 Greta Rizzetto
W35 Torino
0-2 4-12 L
06/07 Loes Ebeling Koning
W75 The Hague
1-2 17-18 L
05/07 Ipek Oz
W75 The Hague
2-0 8-5 W
16/06 Mina Hodzic
W75 Blois · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
10/06 Emma Lene
W35 Casablanca · ~Clay
0-2 10-14 L
05/06 Elina Nepliy
W15 Casablanca · ~Clay
0-2 6-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kayla Lorrimer vs Sarah Iliev?

Our model gives 63% to Sarah Iliev, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.