Tennis · W15 Monastir · 09/09, 11:00

Prediction: Yiru Chen vs Doga Turkmen

Team pages: Doga Turkmen

Prediction summary
Winner
54% 46%
Yiru Chen Doga Turkmen
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Yiru Chen 3-7 (W-L)
LWLLLLLWWL
Doga Turkmen 4-6 (W-L)
WLLWWWLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yiru Chen 1451 · Doga Turkmen 1462
Yiru ChenDoga Turkmen
Our model48%52%
Market59%41%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Yiru ChenDoga Turkmen
Win %30%40%
Win % · Hard 30% (10) 40% (10)
Sets (G-P)0.6-1.30.9-1.3
Games (G-P)7.9-9.29.7-11.1
Aces0.30.5
Double faults3.93.9
1st serve %56.3%57.4%
Break %48.6%42.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yiru Chen

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/09 Riko Kikawada
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 2-10 L
02/09 Emna Mathlouthi
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
01/09 Liana Cammilleri
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
25/08 Marie Villet
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
23/06 Jiayu Xu
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-1 3-6 L
16/06 Evialina Laskevich
W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
26/05 Hikaru Sato
W35 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
20/05 Ekaterina Yashina
W35 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
18/05 Yu-Ning Tsai
W35 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
05/05 Alina Tikhonova
W15 Luan · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L

Doga Turkmen

WLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/09 Marie Villet
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 6-13 L
12/07 Isabella Shinikova
WTA Istanbul · Hard
0-2 1-12 L
30/06 Selina Atay
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 10-14 L
26/06 Kateryna Lazarenko
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
25/06 Caroline Hermanns
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W
24/06 Sandugash Kenzhibayeva
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
04/06 Marie Villet
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
1-2 12-15 L
02/06 Emily Sartz-Lunde
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-1 14-11 W
28/05 Deniz Dilek
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
26/05 Berrak Kocak
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yiru Chen vs Doga Turkmen?

Our model gives 54% to Yiru Chen, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.