Tennis · W15 Dijon · 10/09, 10:00

Prediction: Ninon Carpentier vs Marta Soriano Santiago

Team pages: Ninon Carpentier · Marta Soriano Santiago

Prediction summary
Winner
28% 72%
Ninon Carpentier Marta Soriano Santiago
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Ninon Carpentier 5-5 (W-L)
LWWLWLLLWW
Marta Soriano Santiago 6-4 (W-L)
LWWWLLWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ninon Carpentier 1491 · Marta Soriano Santiago 1532
Ninon CarpentierMarta Soriano Santiago
Our model44%56%
Market16%84%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marta Soriano Santiago (rating 1491 vs 1532).

Statistics

Ninon CarpentierMarta Soriano Santiago
Win %50%60%
Win % · Hard 43% (7)
Sets (G-P)1-1.11.2-0.9
Games (G-P)8.5-9.410.2-8.9
Aces0.20.7
Double faults2.73.7
1st serve %58.5%59.6%
Break %53.3%64.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ninon Carpentier

LLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/09 Julia Victoria Rennert
W15 Dijon
2-0 12-6 W
01/09 Ines Delaloye
W15 Cap d'Agde
2-1 16-13 W
22/07 Sophia Biolay
W15 Nogent-sur-Marne
0-2 5-12 L
13/01 Emira Diabate
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
07/01 Yuno Kitahara
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
06/01 Olivia Cela
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
20/11 Esther Adeshina
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
19/11 Inka Wawrzkiewicz
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 9-2 W
18/11 Teodora Miron
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 11-5 W
12/11 Emma Slavikova
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L

Marta Soriano Santiago

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/09 Victoria Pohle
W15 Dijon
2-0 13-7 W
03/09 Jahnie Van Zyl
W15 Cap d'Agde
0-2 5-12 L
02/09 Iulia Maria Buculei
W15 Cap d'Agde
2-1 15-15 W
01/09 Lola Collin
W15 Cap d'Agde
2-0 12-4 W
19/08 Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni
W35 Bistrita · ~Clay
0-2 6-13 L
11/08 Teodora Miron
W15 Bucharest · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
21/07 Selina Atay
W15 Nogent-sur-Marne
2-0 12-5 W
25/06 Ilinca Sagmar
W15 Galati · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
23/06 Madhurima Sawant
W15 Galati · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W
13/06 Ruth Roura Llaverias
W15 Madrid
0-2 10-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ninon Carpentier vs Marta Soriano Santiago?

Our model gives 72% to Marta Soriano Santiago, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.