Tennis · Challenger Cassis · 10/09, 10:00
Prediction: Mathys Erhard vs Daniil Glinka
Team pages: Mathys Erhard · Daniil Glinka
Prediction summary
Winner
Mathys Erhard
Daniil Glinka
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Mathys Erhard
8-2 (W-L)
Daniil Glinka
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mathys Erhard
1–0
Daniil Glinka
(1 last)
- 19 Apr2-1 21-19W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mathys Erhard 1565 · Daniil Glinka 1521
| Mathys Erhard | Daniil Glinka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mathys Erhard (rating 1565 vs 1521).
- Mathys Erhard dominates on serve: 7.7 aces and 52.8% break avg.
- Daniil Glinka dominates on serve: 6.5 aces and 59.5% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Mathys Erhard 1–0 Daniil Glinka (1).
Statistics
| Mathys Erhard | Daniil Glinka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (8) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.1-10.4 | 12-10.1 |
| Aces | 7.7 | 6.5 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 76.1% | 73.7% |
| Break % | 52.8% | 59.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
H2H · Mathys Erhard 1 – 0 Daniil Glinka (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mathys Erhard 1–0 Daniil Glinka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/21 M15 Antalya | 2-1 | 21-19 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mathys Erhard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Benjamin Pietri Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 01/09 | Charles Broom Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 31/08 | Anton Shepp Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/08 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 07/08 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Damir Dzumhur Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/08 | Olaf Pieczkowski Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 26/07 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Ollersbach |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 25/07 | Andrej Martin M25 Ollersbach |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Daniil Glinka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Ryan Peniston Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/09 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Zsombor Piros US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 25/08 | Pedro Martinez US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/08 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Harold Mayot Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Elias Ymer Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/08 | Florent Bax Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 08/08 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Alexander Donski Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mathys Erhard vs Daniil Glinka?
Our model gives 52% to Daniil Glinka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.