Tennis · WTA Barranquilla · 08/09, 20:30
Prediction: Leolia Jeanjean vs Carolina Alves
Team pages: Leolia Jeanjean · Carolina Alves
Prediction summary
Winner
Leolia Jeanjean
Carolina Alves
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Leolia Jeanjean
1-9 (W-L)
Carolina Alves
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leolia Jeanjean 1491 · Carolina Alves 1607
| Leolia Jeanjean | Carolina Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carolina Alves (rating 1491 vs 1607).
- Carolina Alves is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Leolia Jeanjean makes many double faults (7.4/match).
Statistics
| Leolia Jeanjean | Carolina Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.4 | 1.6-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-12.7 | 11.5-6.9 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 7.4 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 62.9% | 67.3% |
| Break % | 51.7% | 52% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leolia Jeanjean
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Anastasia Potapova US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 01/09 | Arantxa Rus US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/08 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Monterrey · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 13/08 | Lucrezia Stefanini WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Himeno Sakatsume WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 03/08 | Magdalena Frech WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Lin Zhu WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/07 | Mayar Sherif WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 10/07 | Alice Tubello WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 09/07 | Francesca Jones WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
Carolina Alves
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Antonia Rivera WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/08 | Lan Mi W35 Barueri |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca W35 Barueri |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/08 | Maria Jose Sanchez Uribe W35 Barueri |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/08 | Victoria Bosio W35 Pergamino |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 01/08 | Giorgia Pedone W35 Pergamino |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/07 | Fernanda Labrana W35 Pergamino |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/07 | Isabella Barrera Aguirre W35 Pergamino |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/07 | Julia Konishi Camargo Silva W35 Pergamino |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 23/07 | Nauhany Vitoria Leme Da Silva W75 Vacaria |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leolia Jeanjean vs Carolina Alves?
Our model gives 62% to Leolia Jeanjean, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.