Prediction: Natalia Sousa Salazar vs Maria Florencia Urrutia
Team pages: Natalia Sousa Salazar · Maria Florencia Urrutia
Prediction summary
Winner
Natalia Sousa Salazar
Maria Florencia Urrutia
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Natalia Sousa Salazar
2-8 (W-L)
Maria Florencia Urrutia
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Natalia Sousa Salazar
0–2
Maria Florencia Urrutia
(2 last)
- 20 Feb1-2 10-15L
- 12 Feb0-2 4-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Natalia Sousa Salazar 1443 · Maria Florencia Urrutia 1560
| Natalia Sousa Salazar | Maria Florencia Urrutia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 5% | 95% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maria Florencia Urrutia (rating 1443 vs 1560).
- Maria Florencia Urrutia is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Natalia Sousa Salazar 0–2 Maria Florencia Urrutia (2).
Statistics
| Natalia Sousa Salazar | Maria Florencia Urrutia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.6 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.5-11.2 | 10.6-8.1 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 54.9% | 58.9% |
| Break % | 43% | 50.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
H2H · Natalia Sousa Salazar 0 – 2 Maria Florencia Urrutia (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Natalia Sousa Salazar 0–2 Maria Florencia Urrutia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/25 UTR Pro Tigre Women | 1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 12/02/25 UTR Pro Tigre Women | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Natalia Sousa Salazar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez W15 Lujan · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Carola Celina Sosa Others · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/08 | Ana Candiotto W35 Barueri |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Ana Candiotto W15 Campos do Jordao |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Maria Fernanda Lopes W15 Campos do Jordao |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 12/08 | Beatriz Guerra W15 Campos do Jordao |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Ana Sofia Sanchez W35 Chacabuco |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Beatriz Guerra W35 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 25/06 | Lourdes Ayala W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Joody Elkady W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
Maria Florencia Urrutia
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Victoria Bosio W15 Lujan · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 05/09 | Fernanda Labrana W15 Lujan · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/09 | Lourdes Ayala W15 Lujan · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Agustina Tarantola W15 Lujan · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/09 | Josefina Estevez Others · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Victoria Bosio W35 Chacabuco |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Camila Rodero W35 Chacabuco |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Luciana Moyano W35 Chacabuco |
2-0 | 11-2 | W |
| 30/07 | Camila Romero W35 Pergamino |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 23/07 | Laura Pigossi W75 Vacaria |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Natalia Sousa Salazar vs Maria Florencia Urrutia?
Our model gives 82% to Maria Florencia Urrutia, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.