Prediction: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx
Team pages: Karen Khachanov · Alexander Blockx
Prediction summary
Winner
Karen Khachanov
Alexander Blockx
Estimated games
28.4Bet365 line 39.5
Recent form · 10 last
Karen Khachanov
7-3 (W-L)
Alexander Blockx
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Karen Khachanov 1538 · Alexander Blockx 1567
| Karen Khachanov | Alexander Blockx | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 60% | 40% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Karen Khachanov dominates on serve: 9.4 aces and 43.6% break avg.
- Alexander Blockx dominates on serve: 10.6 aces and 43.3% break avg.
- Note: Alexander Blockx makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Karen Khachanov | Alexander Blockx | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2.1-1.3 | 2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 18.5-14.5 | 17.3-14.1 |
| Aces | 9.4 | 10.6 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 5.4 |
| 1st serve % | 75.7% | 78.1% |
| Break % | 43.6% | 43.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
28.4 · Bet365 line 39.5 · -11.1
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Karen Khachanov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Learner Tien US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 29-23 | W |
| 05/09 | Benjamin Bonzi US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-9 | W |
| 03/09 | Felix Auger Aliassime US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 24-14 | W |
| 31/08 | Roman Andres Burruchaga US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-4 | W |
| 15/08 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 06/08 | Terence Atmane ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Bernard Tomic ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Flavio Cobolli Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 23-25 | L |
| 02/07 | Yannick Hanfmann Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-11 | W |
| 30/06 | Billy Harris Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-16 | W |
Alexander Blockx
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Francisco Cerundolo US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 24-19 | W |
| 05/09 | Flavio Cobolli US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 24-13 | W |
| 03/09 | Marco Trungelliti US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 21-12 | W |
| 31/08 | Tomas Barrios Vera US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-9 | W |
| 17/08 | Flavio Cobolli ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 15/08 | Mariano Navone ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Luca Van Assche ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 25/07 | Luciano Darderi ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 19-19 | W |
| 24/07 | Roman Andres Burruchaga ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx?
Our model gives 54% to Karen Khachanov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.