Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 10/09, 20:00
Prediction: JP Day vs Zach Stephens
Team pages: JP Day · Zach Stephens
Prediction summary
Winner
JP Day
Zach Stephens
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
JP Day
8-2 (W-L)
Zach Stephens
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · JP Day 1550 · Zach Stephens 1447
| JP Day | Zach Stephens | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours JP Day (rating 1550 vs 1447).
- JP Day is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| JP Day | Zach Stephens | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 0.5-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-7.8 | 7.8-11.9 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 66.3% | 59.6% |
| Break % | 70.6% | 52.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
JP Day
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Andy Nguyen UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Maximilian Wuelfing UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 05/07 | Arnav Bhandari UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/07 | Constantinos Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 03/07 | Liam Spiers UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Brayden Tallakson UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/07 | Ilan Klein UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/06 | Eric Crivei UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/06 | Pavel Bushuev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/06 | Xavier Calvelo UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Zach Stephens
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Andy Nguyen UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Pavel Bushuev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/08 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Amit Vales M15 Turku |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Oscar Brown M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Max Benaim M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Michael Agwi M15 Dublin |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Alexandre Reco M15 Rognac |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Nazim Makhlouf M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Dinko Dinev Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in JP Day vs Zach Stephens?
Our model gives 69% to JP Day, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.