Tennis · UTR Pro Knoxville · 11/09, 19:00
Prediction: Joaquin Benoit vs Shion Itsusaki
Team pages: Joaquin Benoit · Shion Itsusaki
Prediction summary
Winner
Joaquin Benoit
Shion Itsusaki
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Joaquin Benoit
6-4 (W-L)
Shion Itsusaki
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joaquin Benoit 1554 · Shion Itsusaki 1441
| Joaquin Benoit | Shion Itsusaki | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Joaquin Benoit (rating 1554 vs 1441).
- Joaquin Benoit is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Joaquin Benoit makes many double faults (7.4/match).
Statistics
| Joaquin Benoit | Shion Itsusaki | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-7.6 | 9.6-12.4 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 2 |
| Double faults | 7.4 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 73.8% | 63.6% |
| Break % | 37.3% | 46.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joaquin Benoit
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Carlos Victor Ferreira Gonzales UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/09 | Alejandro Moreno UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Leo Pade UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Henrik Bladelius UTR Pro Clemson · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/08 | Kanan Gasimov UTR Pro Clemson · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 28/08 | Sebastian Bielen UTR Pro Clemson · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | Ben Chetewy Ungar UTR Pro Clemson · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 25/08 | William McEwan UTR Pro Clemson · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/08 | Malhar Patel UTR Pro Clemson · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/05 | Aleksa Ciric UTR Pro Tuscaloosa · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Shion Itsusaki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Alejandro Moreno UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Leo Pade UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Carlos Victor Ferreira Gonzales UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/07 | Yuga Tashiro UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Naoto Tomizawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 15/07 | Penn Charusorn UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Jonathan Irwanto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 13/07 | Shingo Masuda UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Masaki Tonaka UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Toshiki Karigyo UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joaquin Benoit vs Shion Itsusaki?
Our model gives 74% to Joaquin Benoit, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.