Tennis · M25 Sintra · 09/09, 11:00

Prediction: Artem Alekseychuk vs Miguel Semedo

Team pages: Artem Alekseychuk

Prediction summary
Winner
45% 55%
Artem Alekseychuk Miguel Semedo
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Artem Alekseychuk 2-8 (W-L)
LWWLLLLLLL
Miguel Semedo 6-4 (W-L)
LWLLWWWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Artem Alekseychuk 1450 · Miguel Semedo 1498
Artem AlekseychukMiguel Semedo
Our model43%57%
Market46%54%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Miguel Semedo (rating 1450 vs 1498).
  • Miguel Semedo is in better form: 50% recent wins.
  • Note: Miguel Semedo makes many double faults (4/match).

Statistics

Artem AlekseychukMiguel Semedo
Win %20%50%
Win % · Hard 33% (6) 44% (9)
Sets (G-P)0.5-1.71.2-1
Games (G-P)6.6-11.410.8-10.4
Aces15
Double faults3.24
1st serve %60.7%72%
Break %43.2%62.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Artem Alekseychuk

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/09 Maxi Carrascosa Diaz
M15 Madrid
0-2 6-13 L
17/08 Tiago Boschmans
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
0-2 7-10 L
14/07 Maxwell McKennon
M15 Castelo Branco
0-2 5-12 L
06/07 Noah Regas
M25 Roda de Bara
0-2 2-8 L
23/06 Yeongseok Jeong
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
16/06 Seongwoo Cho
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
11/06 Hanyi Liu
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
10/06 Koki Matsuda
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
09/06 Hanlei Lu
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-1 10-10 W
27/05 Ramazan Kaan Oktay
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
1-2 14-17 L

Miguel Semedo

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/09 Alan Sau Franco
M25 Sintra
2-0 13-9 W
15/06 Tiago Silva
M25 Lourinha · ~Hard
1-2 11-13 L
02/05 Felix Alopaeus
UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard
1-2 14-18 L
01/05 Dorian Juszczak
UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
30/04 Felipe Garla
UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
28/04 Nicola Ion
UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
27/04 Fausto Tabacco
UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
05/04 Hugo Maia
UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
04/04 Jim Hendrikx
UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
03/04 Pavel Lagutin
UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard
0-2 6-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Artem Alekseychuk vs Miguel Semedo?

Our model gives 55% to Miguel Semedo, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.