Tennis · M25 Rabat · 08/09, 15:00

Prediction: Petros Tsitsipas vs Maxence Rivet

Team pages: Petros Tsitsipas · Maxence Rivet

Prediction summary
Winner
43% 57%
Petros Tsitsipas Maxence Rivet
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Petros Tsitsipas 3-7 (W-L)
WLWLLWLLLL
Maxence Rivet 3-7 (W-L)
LWWLLLLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Petros Tsitsipas 1464 · Maxence Rivet 1473
Petros TsitsipasMaxence Rivet
Our model49%51%
Market39%61%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Petros Tsitsipas makes many double faults (5.2/match).

Statistics

Petros TsitsipasMaxence Rivet
Win %40%40%
Win % · Clay 25% (4) 33% (3)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.31.2-1.3
Games (G-P)10.1-11.511.2-11.3
Aces5.22.7
Double faults5.23.9
1st serve %70.7%68%
Break %39.9%44.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Petros Tsitsipas

WLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/09 Arthur Nagel
M25 Casablanca · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
16/08 Oleksandr Ovcharenko
Challenger Sion · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
22/07 Tommaso Compagnucci
M25 Ollersbach
1-2 12-16 L
16/07 Theo Papamalamis
M25 Kramsach
0-2 6-13 L
14/07 Maurice-Noel Kaserer
M25 Kramsach
2-0 12-7 W
10/07 Vladyslav Orlov
M15 Lodz
0-2 6-12 L
09/07 Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
M15 Lodz
2-1 19-13 W
08/07 Martins Rocens
M15 Lodz
2-0 13-6 W
25/06 Bozo Barun
M25 Zagreb · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
24/06 Viacheslav Bielinskyi
M25 Zagreb · ~Clay
2-0 14-11 W

Maxence Rivet

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/09 Yassine Dlimi
M25 Casablanca · ~Clay
1-2 10-13 L
02/09 Youssef Kadiri Hassani
M25 Casablanca · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
05/08 Ferdinand Kloesters
M15 Eupen
0-2 7-12 L
28/07 Maxime Chazal
M15 Strasbourg
0-1 1-6 L
23/07 Lucas Marionneau
M15 Rognac
1-2 15-16 L
21/07 Mae Malige
M15 Rognac
2-1 19-13 W
20/07 Damien Salvestre
M15 Rognac
2-1 13-11 W
16/07 Florent Bax
M25 Uriage
1-2 13-18 L
14/07 Amaury Raynel
M25 Uriage
2-0 13-7 W
12/06 Fausto Tabacco
M15 Messina · ~Clay
1-2 9-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Petros Tsitsipas vs Maxence Rivet?

Our model gives 57% to Maxence Rivet, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.