Tennis · M25 Rabat · 09/09, 11:00

Prediction: Nicolo Toffanin vs Jack Loge

Team pages: Nicolo Toffanin · Jack Loge

Prediction summary
Winner
21% 79%
Nicolo Toffanin Jack Loge
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Nicolo Toffanin 0-10 (W-L)
LLLLLLLLLL
Jack Loge 6-4 (W-L)
LWWLWLWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nicolo Toffanin 1423 · Jack Loge 1536
Nicolo ToffaninJack Loge
Our model34%66%
Market10%90%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jack Loge (rating 1423 vs 1536).
  • Jack Loge is in better form: 70% recent wins.

Statistics

Nicolo ToffaninJack Loge
Win %20%70%
Win % · Clay 0% (2) 75% (4)
Sets (G-P)0.6-1.81.6-0.8
Games (G-P)9.1-1213-9.9
Aces1.32.4
Double faults2.82.3
1st serve %54.5%67.9%
Break %41.3%51.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nicolo Toffanin

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/08 Samuele Pieri
M25 Maribor
0-2 6-13 L
26/08 Vaal Urankar
M25 Maribor
2-1 18-11 W
20/08 Gabriele Maria Noce
M15 Mistelbach
0-2 7-12 L
19/08 Paul Schmid
M15 Mistelbach
2-1 16-11 W
11/08 Odysseas Geladaris
M15 Targu Jiu
0-2 6-12 L
03/08 Tobia Grandinetti
M25 Fano
1-2 6-8 L
28/07 Gabriel Sardo
M25 Bolzano · ~Clay
1-2 17-16 L
15/07 Alexander Gschiel
M15 Nova Gorica
0-2 3-12 L
08/07 Gabriele Vulpitta
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
0-2 10-13 L
02/07 Lorenzo Bocchi
M15 Umag · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L

Jack Loge

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/09 Max Houkes
M25 Casablanca · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
04/09 Yaroslav Demin
M25 Casablanca · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
03/09 Reda El Aouni
M25 Casablanca · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
02/09 Andrea M'chich
M25 Casablanca · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
23/08 Romain Faucon
M15 Lambermont
1-2 15-14 L
22/08 Marlon Vankan
M15 Lambermont
2-1 14-13 W
21/08 Stijn Paardekooper
M15 Lambermont
2-1 18-13 W
20/08 Jim Hendrikx
M15 Lambermont
2-0 12-4 W
19/08 Noah Martens
M15 Lambermont
2-0 12-4 W
14/08 Raphael Perot
M25 Koksijde
1-2 12-16 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nicolo Toffanin vs Jack Loge?

Our model gives 79% to Jack Loge, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.