Tennis · W15 Radom · 09/09, 10:00

Prediction: Julia Adams vs Oriana Gniewkowska

Team pages: Julia Adams · Oriana Gniewkowska

Prediction summary
Winner
59% 41%
Julia Adams Oriana Gniewkowska
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Julia Adams 5-5 (W-L)
LLWWLLWWWL
Oriana Gniewkowska 5-5 (W-L)
LWWWLWLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Julia Adams 1502 · Oriana Gniewkowska 1515
Julia AdamsOriana Gniewkowska
Our model48%52%
Market69%31%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Julia AdamsOriana Gniewkowska
Win %50%60%
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.21.2-1
Games (G-P)10.7-10.49.2-9.6
Aces1.11
Double faults3.33.5
1st serve %55.1%61%
Break %51.5%33.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Julia Adams

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/09 Kateryna Lazarenko
W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki
0-2 4-12 L
04/09 Jessica Laura Pabisiak
W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2-0 12-3 W
03/09 Matylda Burylo
W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2-1 13-15 W
01/09 Maria Paredes Perez
W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2-0 12-4 W
24/08 Daria Gorska
W75 Bytom
0-2 11-14 L
18/08 Xinyu Gao
W50 Prague
0-2 8-13 L
17/08 Klara Blazkova
W50 Prague
2-1 16-9 W
16/08 Khrystyna Vozniak
W50 Prague
2-0 12-4 W
02/08 Kaat Coppez
W75 Koksijde
1-2 15-18 L
28/07 Irina Balus
W50 Knokke-Heist
0-2 4-12 L

Oriana Gniewkowska

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/09 Emily Appleton
W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki
0-2 6-12 L
25/08 Denisa Zoldakova
W75 Bytom
0-2 2-12 L
24/08 Miriana Tona
W75 Bytom
2-0 12-6 W
20/08 Zuzanna Pawlikowska
W35 Krakow
0-2 2-12 L
19/08 Georgina Garcia-Perez
W35 Krakow
2-0 12-6 W
01/08 Lucie Petruzelova
W15 Bielsko Biala
0-2 5-12 L
31/07 Klara Kajabova
W15 Bielsko Biala
2-1 17-14 W
30/07 Chiara Fornasieri
W15 Bielsko Biala
2-0 12-3 W
29/07 Simona Wirglerova
W15 Bielsko Biala
2-0 13-7 W
28/07 Annemarie Lazar
W15 Bielsko Biala
2-1 11-12 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Julia Adams vs Oriana Gniewkowska?

Our model gives 59% to Julia Adams.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.