Tennis · W15 Viserba Di Rimini · 09/09, 10:00
Prediction: Verena Meliss vs Carolina Gasparini
Team pages: Verena Meliss · Carolina Gasparini
Prediction summary
Winner
Verena Meliss
Carolina Gasparini
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Verena Meliss
4-6 (W-L)
Carolina Gasparini
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Verena Meliss 1438 · Carolina Gasparini 1455
| Verena Meliss | Carolina Gasparini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Verena Meliss | Carolina Gasparini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.7 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-12.7 | 8.6-9.7 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 54.8% | 53.5% |
| Break % | 42.3% | 51.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Verena Meliss
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Camilla Zanolini W35 Trieste |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Sahaja Yamalapalli W35 Erwitte |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 10/08 | Alba Rey Garcia W50 Hamburg |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 09/08 | Monique Barry W50 Hamburg |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 26/07 | Eleonora Alvisi W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Tatiana Pieri W75 Cordenons |
0-2 | 1-8 | L |
| 20/07 | Monique Barry W75 Cordenons |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 14/06 | Mia Ristic WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Emma Lene W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 10/06 | Lina Bezza W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
Carolina Gasparini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Noemi Maines W15 Fiano Romano |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 03/09 | Carla Giambelli W15 Fiano Romano |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Beatrice Stagno W15 Fiano Romano |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/08 | Benedetta Ortenzi W15 Fiano Romano |
2-1 | 9-9 | W |
| 03/08 | Galena Krastenova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-10 | L |
| 27/07 | Charlotte Van Zonneveld W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Krystyna Pochtovyk W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/12 | Sapfo Sakellaridi W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-11 | L |
| 23/12 | Selya Rakki W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/12 | Victoria Pohle W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Verena Meliss vs Carolina Gasparini?
Our model gives 67% to Verena Meliss, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.